

Contents:
1) Good news: unanimous NSF site panel selection of Homestake
2) Bad news: Barrick committed to flooding
3) Reference Design Project Book
1) NSF site panel selection of Homestake: Last Friday the NSF issued
the report of its site panel. This was a distinguished engineering
panel whose members had had experience with over 1000 tunneling
and mining projects on six continents. The conclusion:
Homestake is unanimously, and by far, the favored site from
the two perspectives considered, 1) geological suitability and
2) relative costs. The panel is very confident that NUSEL
could be built at Homestake on budget, with little chance of
failure.
Please go to the NUSEL web site,
http://int.phys.washington.edu/nusel/
to read the report. It will be found in the middle of the
main page, as a new posting.
2) Unfortunately, the bad news is severe. Monday, the first
working day after the NSF announcement, Barrick Gold stated
it would proceed with mine flooding June 10. The NSF
report noted in part:
"The panel was unanimous in the opinion that continuing to
pump is the most desirable option. Important reasons to continue
pumping include maintenance of mine stability, avoidance of
equipment replacement or damage, consistency with existing
operating approvals, and preservation of the rock mass
environment." I would add to this a minimum 2-3 year delay
in funding NUSEL, the time required to dewater.
Three additional points: First, the feasibility of dewatering
is not demonstrated: Barrick has offered no plan for accomplishing
this. We have two expert engineers (former head engineers at
Homestake) working for us. When we asked them what would be
required to dewater the mine in FY06, the answers were not
comforting. A set of portable pumps would have to be lowered
to depth from the 4850 ft level. Somehow pump columns would
have to be put in place, perhaps through the ramp system. This
is problematic because the mine would not have been maintained
for a long period, the conditions would be unbearable (very hot
and humid, as the ventilation will stop with the flooding), and
MSHA would have to agree to let workers into the mine. The
current permanent pump system is impressive, 2500 gpm,
equivalent to emptying SuperKamiokande in four days.
Optimistically one might be able to handle the weight of
portable pumps managing 1500 gpa. This plus engineering time
leads to the 2-3 year estimate.
It is very unclear how this would be financed. Barrick will
have retained no technical force on site. Presumably one
envisions the state taking over the site on the prospect that
NSF will fund the restoration. This requires the state to
gamble that a lab is coming. The state does not have $40M.
Thus the NSF would have to be willing to put $40M up front,
to get us to the point where we could core the proposed
development areas at 7400 ft, etc. We do not like the odds.
The potential for damage was noted by the committee. The
condition of all the rock bolting in the mine, after 5 years
of heat and humidity, would have to be determined. The
expectation is that a great deal of work would be required to
guarantee safe access. The geomicrobiologists have consulted
an individual they belief is the expert on Homestake water.
He believes the water pressure will cause the rock to recharge,
which then rules out a meaningful geomicrobiology problem.
We fear that most of the geoscience program will be problematic.
The EarthLab argument for NUSEL is the access to 9 km^3 of
rock via 400 miles of drifts. We doubt MSHA will allow access
to those drifts after 5 years of flooding.
The Executive Committee is doing everything conceivable to
encourage the state to fight this. I will keep you posted.
3) All of this has demoralized our Reference Design Project Book
effort. Nevertheless, it is 90% complete. If nothing else,
it will document for history what could have been, if the
flooding takes place June 10.
4) In conclusion, the Executive Committee has discussed options.
We are a resilient bunch and have good ideas, but we think it
is best to discuss these next week. We are still very hopeful
that Governor Rounds will use the considerable authority that
exists in state.